Simple Growth/Decay
~If you see the following
statement or it's equivalent in a problem, "the rate of change of a
given quantity Q is proportional to the amount of Q present at any
given time", you will be dealing with a simple growth or decay problem.
The equation model for this situation is derived as follows:
~In many problems, it is not necessary to derive it, just use
the end result of the
derivation, i.e., the equation that results. Here is the derivation:
~It comes from the statement, "the rate of growth/decay of a quantity Q is
proportional
to the amount of Q present at any given time t". This translates to
the following:
dQ/dt = kQ, where k is the constant of the proportion. If
k>0, there will be a growth, since
Q will increase with time. If k<0, there will be a decay, since Q will
decrease with time.
~Separating the variables in this simple differential equation, we
get: dQ/Q =kdt.
~Integrating both sides, ln(Q)=kt+C. Assuming that the
initial amount of Q is Qo (at t=0),
we get: ln(Qo)=C. Substituting back for C, we
have: ln(Q)=kt+ln(Qo)
~Getting the natural logs on the same side:
ln(Q)-ln(Qo)=kt then using the division
property of logs (i.e., the log of a
quotient is equivalent to subtracting the log of the denominator from
the log of the numerator), we get; ln(Q/Qo)=kt. Now,
use a property of the natural log to get:
Q/Qo = ekt. Multiplying both sides by Qo, we get the final
result: Q=Qoekt.
~This is the model used for simple growth/decay. You can start many problems
here
and do not have to go through the derivation repeatedly.
~You will see this type of model in simple growth/decay problems
dealing with population (either people or organisms) and with
radioactive decay (see radiocarbon dating link)
~In all problems using this model, predictions are made, either for Q
(amount of the quantity) at some value of time (t) or the time (t) is
predicted at some value of Q. In both cases, the constant k must
be found. In most cases, the initial amount of Q, which is Qo
needs to be known (except in radioactive decay when the half-life is
known).
~Once these quantities are known, then there will be a direct tie
between the two variables, Q and t. Thus, if one is given, the
other can be estimated.
~Let me emphasize that this model is for simple growth/decay and is not
very realistic in many cases. Other more advanced models are used
in those cases (i.e., the logistic model for growth or for temperature decay, Newton's law of cooling).