~When performing a hypothesis test, there is a
possibility that your conclusion is in error.
~Type I & type II errors focus
around the statement in the null hypothesis. The original claim should be
addressed in stating them.
~The significance level a (alpha) determines the chance of making a type I error. That is, the probability of a type I error = a.
What is a type I error?
~A type I error is the error made
by rejecting a true null hypothesis (RAT for
short).
~Since the significance level a determines the
size of the rejection region, we are willing to reject the null hypothesis
whenever our sample results in a test statistic that falls within this area.
~For example, if a is .05, we will
reject a true null hypothesis 5% of the time. That way, we can keep our error relatively small. For
very important tests, we would probably like to do better. So, a smaller
significance level would be used, say .01.
~Beginning students often find it difficult to
verbalize Type I & Type II in a given hypothesis test.
Let's take some examples.
~Examples of a type I
error:
~Say the null hypothesis is that "This new line of
cars get 35 mpg in the city" and the consumer groups believe they get less than
35 mpg. The latter would be the alternate hypothesis.
~A type I error is committed, if
we reject the null hypothesis when it is actually true. We also must tie in the
alternate hypothesis. By rejecting the null hypothesis, we are accepting
the alternate hypothesis. We can verbalize it this way: "concluding that
these new line of cars get less than 35 mpg, when, in reality, they get 35 mpg".
That way, we are rejecting the null hypothesis when it is really
true.
~Let's take another example of a type
I error.
~A college representative claims that students
average more than 8 hours of sleep/night.. Many others believe that this figure
is incorrect. A hypothesis test is set up and done and a type I
error is committed. The null hypothesis would be that the students average is 8
hours. The alternate hypothesis is that the students average more than 8
hours.
~We can verbalize the type I error
this way: "Concluding that the students average more than 8
hours/night, when, in reality, they average 8 hours/night". That way, we are rejecting the
null hypothesis, when it is actually true.
~Now, for the type II
error.
~The symbol for the probability of a type
II error is b. What is a type II
error?
~A type II error is made when we
accept a false null hypothesis. (AAF for
short)
~Let's use the same two examples in this discussion
to verbalize the type II error.
~Take the example above of the new line of cars
getting 35 mpg in the city. A type II error is committed if we
conclude the following: "the new line of cars do get 35 mpg in the city,
when, in reality, they really get less than 35 mpg". Notice how I tied in the alternate hypothesis, since there is a direction assumed. That way, we are accepting a
false null hypothesis.
~Let's verbalize the
Type II error
in our second example concerning students at a college averaging 8 hours/night
of sleep. We can say it this way:
"Concluding that the students average
8 hours/night of sleep, but, in reality, they average more than 8". That way, we are
accepting a false null hypothesis.
~Note: Finding the value of beta is no easy task. Go to the following link for details and an example:
Finding Beta